Spatial risk for a superspreading environment: Insights from six urban facilities in six global cities across four continents.

Introduction: This study sets out to provide scientific evidence on the spatial risk for the formation of a superspreading environment. Methods: Focusing on six common types of urban facilities (bars, cinemas, gyms and fitness centers, places of worship, public libraries and shopping malls), it first tests whether visitors' mobility characteristics differ systematically for different types of facility and at different locations. The study collects detailed human mobility and other locational data in Chicago, Hong Kong, London, São Paulo, Seoul and Zurich. Then, considering facility agglomeration, visitors' profile and the density of the population, facilities are classified into four potential spatial risk (PSR) classes. Finally, a kernel density function is employed to derive the risk surface in each city based on the spatial risk class and nature of activities. Results: Results of the human mobility analysis reflect the geographical and cultural context of various facilities, transport characteristics and people's lifestyle across cities. Consistent across the six global cities, geographical agglomeration is a risk factor for bars. For other urban facilities, the lack of agglomeration is a risk factor. Based on the spatial risk maps, some high-risk areas of superspreading are identified and discussed in each city. Discussion: Integrating activity-travel patterns in risk models can help identify areas that attract highly mobile visitors and are conducive to superspreading. Based on the findings, this study proposes a place-based strategy of non-pharmaceutical interventions that balance the control of the pandemic and the daily life of the urban population.

Travel behaviour changes under Work-from-home (WFH) arrangements during COVID-19.

Life, including working style and travel behaviour, has been severely disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The unprecedented number of work-from-home (WFH) employees after the outbreak of COVID-19 has attracted much scholarly attention. As it is generally believed that WFH arrangements are not ephemeral, it is imperative to study the impacts of WFH on travel behaviour and its impact on sustainable transport in the post-pandemic era. In relation, this study uses a set of longitudinal GPS tracking data in Switzerland to examine changes in trip characteristics (i.e. travel distance, travel time), travel behaviours (i.e. travel frequency, peak hour departure, trip destination, travel mode), and activities (i.e. trip pattern diversity, trip purpose, and time spent at home). Two groups of participants (WFH and Non-WFH) are identified and compared through three periods (pre-COVID, during lockdown, and post lockdown) from September 2019 to October 2020. Results show that more significant reductions of trip distance, travel time, travel frequency, morning peak hours trips, trips to the CBD are observed among the WFH group. These changes helped to mitigate negative transport externalities. Meanwhile, active transport trips, trip pattern diversity, leisure trips, and time spent at home also increased more significantly for the WFH group when compared to their counterparts. Hence, promoting WFH may not only be beneficial to teleworkers but also to the wider community through more sustainable transport. Future research direction and policy implications are also discussed.

The impact of COVID-19 on mobility choices in Switzerland.

We study the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated government measures on individual mobility choices in Switzerland. Our data is based on over 1,600 people for which we observe all trips during eight weeks before the pandemic and until May 2021. We find an overall reduction of travel distances by 60 percent, followed by a gradual recovery during the subsequent re-opening of the economy. Whereas driving distances have almost completely recovered, public transport re-mains under-used. The introduction of a requirement to wear a mask in public transport had no measurable impact on ridership. The individual travel response to the pandemic varies along socio-economic dimensions such as education and house-hold size, with mobility tool ownership, and with personal values and lifestyles. We find no evidence for a significant substitution of leisure travel to compensate for the reduction in work-related travel.

Ride‐pooling in the light of COVID‐19: Determining spatiotemporal demand characteristics on the example of MOIA

The mobility provider MOIA operates Europe's largest contiguous electric ride-pooling service in Hamburg, representing a testbed of how shared and digitized transport can help foster the transformation of urban mobility. The on-demand service has been in operation since 2019 and was thus affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. This study shows real-world insights into travel behavior before and during the pandemic, contributing to the empirical evidence on recent mobility behavior. After the application of descriptive statistical analyses, several (spatial) regression models are estimated to understand the relationship between spatial variables and demand. MOIA trip data from three different time periods are used: (a) before the COVID-19 pandemic in summer and autumn 2019, (b) during the time of the first lockdown in Germany in spring 2020, and (c) after the first lockdown in summer and autumn 2020. A significant positive effect on ride-pooling demand is observed for number of inhabitants, workplaces, gastronomic facilities, and at the airport in all time periods. In the course of the pandemic, the main travel patterns remained stable. However, the positive influences of gastronomy and the airport on ride-pooling demand diminished in 2020. In contrast, the impact of hospitals on ride-pooling demand increased in the course of the pandemic. In areas with high car ownership, ride-pooling demand declined compared to pre-pandemic times.

Investigation of Shifts in Time Use Behavior during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Mixed Multiple Discrete-Continuous Extreme Value Approach with Panel GPS Data

Typical patterns of time use and travel behavior have been transformed by the COVID-19 pandemic. The drastic change has been documented in several studies to date, especially in the realm of transport, which have asked respondents about how their behavior has changed compared with their prepandemic routines. This work complements those efforts, offering a valuable evaluation of the decision-making process behind choosing which activities to engage in and for how long. A mixed multiple discrete-continuous extreme value (MMDCEV) model was applied to panel GPS data collected between September 2019 and October 2020. The estimation results uncovered how different demographic and mobility tool ownership characteristics affected the choice of activities and their duration. Additional interaction effects of different time periods exogenously introduced into the model allowed for the assessment of the differential effects of these components. Our findings revealed that the choice to participate in out-of-home activities strongly differed with respect to prepandemic conditions. Not only were individuals choosing to spend more time at home during the pandemic, but when they did engage in out-of-home activities, it was also for a shorter duration. Notably, age, gender, education level, and income all affected the propensity to engage in out-of-home activities during the pandemic. These results and their implications for policy as we try to plan for the ?new normal? daily life are discussed.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Activity Time Use and Timing Behavior in Switzerland

This paper analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on activity time use and timing behavior in Switzerland. The evaluation is based on mobility tracking data collected in Switzerland during the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has affected how people spend their time and schedule their activities throughout the day, subsequently creating new activity patterns. Because of the rare occurrences of pandemics in the recent past, little is known about their implications on the behavioral choices of affected people. This paper analyzes these implications by applying a multiple discrete-continuous choice model on mobility tracking data from Switzerland. The applied model is consistent with the results of the descriptive analysis and shows that the different stages of the pandemic drove changes in the activity patterns. During the lockdown, an increase in home activities comes along with decreases in the other activity types. With progressive relaxation of the measures in the following phases, the trends slowly return to the initial state before the pandemic. In addition, it can be seen that the impact of main drivers such as age, gender, household size, income and weather on time use and activity scheduling varies between phases, activity types, and time of day.

Modeling Urban Mode Choice Behavior During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Switzerland Using Mixed Multiple Discrete-Continuous Extreme Value Models

This paper describes and models the behavioral response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Switzerland. The MOBIS-COVID GPS tracking dataset, which includes a pre-pandemic reference base, is used. Trip-level data are transformed in weekly distance proportions per mode per week, and the data are modeled using a mixed multiple discrete-continuous extreme value (MMDCEV) model. Four distinct segments are derived, from September 2019 until the end of 2020, and used to uncover natural and forced behavioral adaptations. The descriptive and model estimation results confirm the trends partly observed around the globe, that is, a large decrease in public transport usage, recovered car usage, and a cycling boom. Behavioral insights are further provided as well as policy recommendations.

Screening Approach for Short-Term PM2.5 Health Co-Benefits: A Case Study from 15 Metropolitan Cities around the World during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Fifteen cities across the world have been selected to investigate the public health co-benefits of PM2.5 reduction, during a period when various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were adopted in the COVID-19 pandemic. Through applying a public health model, AirQ+, substantial spatial variations of global public health co-benefits were identified. Differences in seasonal air quality and population baselines were key underlying factors. For cities in North America, NPIs were introduced during the low pollution season, generating no co-benefits. On the other hand, tremendous health co-benefits were observed for cities in India and China, due to the high PM2.5 background with a large population. Among all, New Delhi has received the largest co-benefits, which saved over 14,700 premature deaths. As the pollution level (i.e., 45 μg m−3) with NPIs still exceeded the air quality standard, more rigorous emission controls are urgently needed to protect the public′s health in India. At last, a novel and practical tool for co-benefit screening was developed using data from one of the global measurement networks (i.e., IQAir).

How did micro-mobility change in response to COVID-19 pandemic? A case study based on spatial-temporal-semantic analytics.

Cities worldwide adopted lockdown policies in response to the outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), significantly influencing people's travel behavior. In particular, micro-mobility, an emerging mode of urban transport, is profoundly shaped by this crisis. However, there is limited research devoted to understanding the rapidly evolving trip patterns of micro-mobility in response to COVID-19. To fill this gap, we analyze the changes in micro-mobility usage before and during the lockdown period exploiting high-resolution micro-mobility trip data collected in Zurich, Switzerland. Specifically, docked bike, docked e-bike, and dockless e-bike are evaluated and compared from the perspective of space, time and semantics. First, the spatial and temporal analysis results uncover that the number of trips decreased remarkably during the lockdown period. The striking difference between the normal and lockdown period is the decline in the peak hours of workdays. Second, the origin-destination flows are used to construct spatially embedded networks. The results suggest that the origin-destination pairs remain similar during the lockdown period, while the numbers of trips between each origin-destination pair is reduced due to COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, the semantic analysis is conducted to uncover the changes in trip purpose. It is revealed that the proportions of Home, Park, and Grocery activities increase, while the proportions of Leisure and Shopping activities decrease during the lockdown period. The above results can help planners and policymakers better make evidence-based policies regarding micro-mobility in the post-pandemic society.

Observed impacts of the Covid-19 first wave on travel behaviour in Switzerland based on a large GPS panel.

In Switzerland, strict measures as a response to the Covid-19 pandemic were imposed on March 16, 2020, before being gradually relaxed from May 11 onwards. We report the impact of these measures on mobility behaviour based on a GPS tracking panel of 1439 Swiss residents. The participants were also exposed to online questionnaires. The impact of both the lockdown and the relaxation of the measures up until the middle of August 2020 are presented. Reductions of around 60% in the average daily distance were observed, with decreases of over 90% for public transport. Cycling increased in mode share drastically. Behavioural shifts can even be observed in response to the announcement of the measures and relaxation, a week before they came in to place. Long-term implications for policy are discussed, in particular the increased preference for cycling as a result of the pandemic.